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Argentina · Cup

21 Mar 2026 00:15 UTC

SAN LORENZO vs DEPORTIVO RINCON

Final 5:0

San Lorenzo won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Guzmán Corujo — San Lorenzo
  2. Luciano Vietto — San Lorenzo
  3. Rodrigo Herrera — San Lorenzo

2nd half

  1. Alexis Cuello — San Lorenzo
  2. Matías Reali — San Lorenzo

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
52%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
29%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 11% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 40 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview