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Vietnam · V.League 1 · V-League

17 Apr 2026 12:15 UTC

HA NOI FC vs HCM CITY

Final 4:2

Ha Noi FC won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Viet Cuong Nguyen Tran — HCM City
  2. Hendrio — Ha Noi FC
  3. Nguyen Hai Long — Ha Noi FC
  4. David Fisher — Ha Noi FC

2nd half

  1. Viet Cuong Nguyen Tran — HCM City
  2. Hendrio — Ha Noi FC
  3. 🟥 Nguyen Thành Chung — Ha Noi FC

Model predictions were

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 144 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 125 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
95 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
100 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
58 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
88 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
114 predictions

Match overview