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19 Apr 2026 05:00 UTC

BUSAN TRANSPORT CORP vs ULSAN CITIZEN

Final 2:0

Busan Transport Corp won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Hyeon-Kyo Oh — Busan Transport Corp

2nd half

⚽ Jo Woo-Hyun — Busan Transport Corp

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Ulsan Citizen

Result: Busan Transport Corp

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

48%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

54%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

54%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

29%

Score

0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Busan Transport Corp vs Ulsan Citizen. The match ended 2-0 in South Korea · K3 League. The model favored Ulsan Citizen with a weak indicator (51%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (48.4%) appeared as a weak indicator and did not match the outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (53.6%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 86.3% of matches across a sample of 139 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 50% in a sample of 36 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

BUSAN TRANSPORT CORP vs ULSAN CITIZEN

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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