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20 May 2026 17:00 UTC

SOGNDAL vs STABAEK

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Stabaek

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Lukass Vapne — Sogndal
⚽ Kasper Skaanes — Sogndal
⚽ Magnus Lankhof-Dahlby (penalty) — Stabaek

2nd half

⚽ William Wendt — Stabaek

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Sogndal

Result: Draw

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

28%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over

34%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

Total 2.5 58% (Good)

Total 3.5 58% (Good)

Total 4.5 64% (Good)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

150 predictions

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

66 predictions

Total 1.5 23% (Weak)

26 predictions

Total 2.5 31% (Weak)

62 predictions

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

109 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

138 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Sogndal vs Stabaek. The match ended 2-2 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Sogndal with a weak indicator (39.3%).

The model’s main outcome call did not land. Most market calls were not confirmed by the final result in this fixture. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (27.6%) appeared as a low-confidence signal and fell short of the result.

Over 2.5 goals (34.1%) appeared as a low-confidence signal and was not confirmed. Both teams to score (53.6%) fell short of the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 65.6% of matches across a sample of 189 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 64.4% in a sample of 45 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

SOGNDAL vs STABAEK

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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