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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

28 May 2026 18:00 UTC

EGYPT vs RUSSIA

Final 1:0

Egypt won Last goal: Egypt

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Mostafa Ziko — Egypt

Model predictions were

49%

1X2

Russia

Result: Egypt

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

17%

Score

2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 58% (Good)

Both teams to score 33% (Weak)

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

Total 2.5 67% (Strong)

Total 3.5 83% (Strong)

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

165 predictions

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

100 predictions

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

166 predictions

Total 2.5 45% (Weak)

94 predictions

Total 3.5 30% (Weak)

46 predictions

Total 4.5 16% (Weak)

19 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Egypt vs Russia after full time. The match ended 1-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Russia with a weak indicator at 49.2%.

The final result did not match the primary prediction. Most market calls were not confirmed by the final result in this fixture. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) appeared as a strong signal and was not confirmed.

Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (41.1%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.8% of matches across a sample of 216 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 33.3% in a sample of 12 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

EGYPT vs RUSSIA

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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