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Chile · Primera B

30 May 2026 16:30 UTC

SANTIAGO WANDERERS vs UNION ESPANOLA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Santiago Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Andrés Vilches — Union Espanola
  2. Marcos Camarda — Santiago Wanderers
  3. Andrés Vilches — Union Espanola

2nd half

  1. Marcos Camarda — Santiago Wanderers

Model predictions were

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
65 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 18% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 6% (Weak)
18 predictions

Match overview