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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

02 Jun 2026 00:00 UTC

UNIVERSITARIO DE VINTO vs AURORA

Final 1:2

Aurora won Last goal: Aurora

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Michael Rangel — Aurora
⚽ Iván Vidaurre (own goal) — Universitario de Vinto

2nd half

⚽ Rodrigo Ramallo (penalty) — Aurora

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Universitario de Vinto

Result: Aurora

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

70%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

75%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

15%

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 218 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 185 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 72% (Strong)

Total 2.5 57% (Good)

Total 3.5 56% (Good)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

Total 1.5 76% (Strong)

Total 2.5 63% (Good)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 65% (Strong)

Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)

142 predictions

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

113 predictions

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

152 predictions

Total 2.5 71% (Strong)

107 predictions

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

121 predictions

Total 4.5 74% (Strong)

154 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora. The match ended 1-2 in Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura. The model leaned toward Universitario de Vinto with a weak indicator (51%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 67% of matches across a sample of 185 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 56.5% in a sample of 46 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) was identified as a strong signal and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (70.3%) appeared as a strong signal and aligned with the result.

Both teams to score (56.7%) aligned with the result. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.