← Back to matches

Brazil · Serie B

06 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

CRICIUMA vs LONDRINA EC

Final 1:0

Criciuma won Last goal: Criciuma

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Willean Lepo — Criciuma

Model predictions were

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 81 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 377 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 312 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
192 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
217 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
278 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
302 predictions

Match overview