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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

06 Jun 2026 19:30 UTC

ATLETICO RAFAELA vs COLEGIALES

Final 1:0

Atletico Rafaela won Last goal: Atletico Rafaela

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mauro Quiroga — Atletico Rafaela

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Leonardo Flores (straight red) — Atletico Rafaela
  2. 🟥 Leonardo Flores (2nd yellow) — Atletico Rafaela

Model predictions were

Off target
40%
1X2
Colegiales
Result: Atletico Rafaela
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 582 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 497 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
342 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
172 predictions
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
277 predictions
Total 2.5 24% (Weak)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
445 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
480 predictions

Match overview

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