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Italy — Serie A

Sample size: 60 matches

Accuracy by market

Weak
47%
Both teams to score

Historical hit rate on both teams to score picks in this league.

Good
60%
Total 1.5

Historical hit rate on Total 1.5 picks in this league.

Weak
57%
Total 2.5

Historical hit rate on Total 2.5 picks in this league.

Strong
77%
Total 3.5

Historical hit rate on Total 3.5 picks in this league.

Strong
87%
Total 4.5

Historical hit rate on Total 4.5 picks in this league.

Good
13%
Exact score

Historical hit rate on exact scoreline picks in this league.

Totals: Over vs Under

Market Over (n) Over acc % Under (n) Under acc %
1.5 40 72.5% 20 35.0%
2.5 19 47.4% 41 61.0%
3.5 6 33.3% 54 81.5%
4.5 1 0.0% 59 88.1%

Underdog vs Favorite (1X2)

Only home/away picks with odds; underdog = higher decimal odds.

Underdog picks

Pick rate: 25.0%
Hit rate: 42.9% (N=7)
Avg odds: 2.99
ROI (1u): 19.3%

Favorite picks

Hit rate: 61.9% (N=21)
Avg odds: 1.80
ROI (1u): 10.5%

Underdog is defined by stored odds (may not be closing odds).