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USA — Major League Soccer

Sample size: 184 matches

Accuracy by market

Weak
55%
Both teams to score

Historical hit rate on both teams to score picks in this league.

Good
73%
Total 1.5

Historical hit rate on Total 1.5 picks in this league.

Weak
49%
Total 2.5

Historical hit rate on Total 2.5 picks in this league.

Weak
50%
Total 3.5

Historical hit rate on Total 3.5 picks in this league.

Good
72%
Total 4.5

Historical hit rate on Total 4.5 picks in this league.

Risky
4%
Exact score

Historical hit rate on exact scoreline picks in this league.

Totals: Over vs Under

Market Over (n) Over acc % Under (n) Under acc %
1.5 158 82.9% 26 15.4%
2.5 119 56.3% 65 35.4%
3.5 67 31.3% 117 60.7%
4.5 28 25.0% 156 80.1%

Underdog vs Favorite (1X2)

Only home/away picks with odds; underdog = higher decimal odds.

Underdog picks

Pick rate: 34.2%
Hit rate: 28.6% (N=14)
Avg odds: 3.80
ROI (1u): -5.5%

Favorite picks

Hit rate: 59.3% (N=27)
Avg odds: 1.80
ROI (1u): 3.6%

Underdog is defined by stored odds (may not be closing odds).