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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

26 Mar 2026 16:00 UTC

RACING vs CLUB ATLETICO PROGRESO

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rodrigo Dudok — Racing

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Facundo de León — Club Atletico Progreso
  2. 🟥 Agustin Pinheiro — Club Atletico Progreso

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Racing
Result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 181 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
122 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
109 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
177 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
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