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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

24 Mar 2026 17:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO vs MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE

Final 1:0

Deportivo Maldonado won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Santiago Ramírez — Deportivo Maldonado

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
52%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview