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Argentina · Cup

07 Apr 2026 21:30 UTC

VELEZ SARSFIELD vs DEPORTIVO ARMENIO

Final 4:1

Velez Sarsfield won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Aaron Quirós — Velez Sarsfield
  2. ⚽ Tobías Andrada — Velez Sarsfield
  3. ⚽ Dilan Godoy — Velez Sarsfield

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tobías Andrada — Velez Sarsfield
  2. ⚽ Mauro Dávila — Deportivo Armenio

Model predictions were

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
Result: Velez Sarsfield
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 8% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 51 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 41 completed matches.

1X2 8% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 8% (Weak)
12 predictions
Both teams to score 23% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
19 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
40 predictions

Match overview

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