← Back to matches

13 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

RAUFOSS vs KONGSVINGER

Final 1:3

Kongsvinger won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Ludvig Langrekken — Kongsvinger
⚽ Alexander Achinioti Jonsson — Kongsvinger
⚽ Eirik Dahl Aasvestad — Raufoss

2nd half

⚽ Daniel Job — Kongsvinger

Model predictions were

40%

1X2

Draw

Result: Kongsvinger

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

30%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

Total 2.5 57% (Good)

Total 3.5 56% (Good)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)

Both teams to score 47% (Average)

Total 1.5 85% (Strong)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 56% (Good)

Total 4.5 59% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)

28 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

51 predictions

Total 1.5 28% (Weak)

18 predictions

Total 2.5 34% (Weak)

47 predictions

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

87 predictions

Total 4.5 81% (Strong)

108 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Raufoss vs Kongsvinger. The match ended 1-3 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Draw with a low-confidence projection (40.2%).

The final result did not match the primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66.2% of matches across a sample of 148 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 47.1% in a sample of 34 team involvements.

Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (29.7%) was identified as a low-confidence signal and fell short of the result. Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) was not confirmed, both teams to score (53.6%) was not confirmed.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

RAUFOSS vs KONGSVINGER

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

Related matches