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12 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

MOSS vs HOEDD

Final 1:0

Moss won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen — Moss

2nd half

🟥 Jamiu Musbaudeen — Moss

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Moss

Result: Moss

61%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

65%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

43%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

20%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 73% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 190 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 145 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

Total 2.5 58% (Good)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 69% (Strong)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 57% (Good)

Total 3.5 51% (Average)

Total 4.5 71% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)

117 predictions

Both teams to score 67% (Strong)

96 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

127 predictions

Total 2.5 69% (Strong)

99 predictions

Total 3.5 45% (Average)

60 predictions

Total 4.5 28% (Weak)

39 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Moss vs Hoedd after full time. The match ended 1-0 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Moss with a low-confidence projection (50.8%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and did not land.

Over 2.5 goals (65%) did not match the outcome, both teams to score (61.1%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66.9% of matches across a sample of 145 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 68.6% in a sample of 35 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

MOSS vs HOEDD

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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