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Chile · Primera B

18 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

DEPORTES RECOLETA vs CURICO UNIDO

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Leandro Benegas — Curico Unido
  2. ⚽ Pedro Sánchez — Deportes Recoleta

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Carlos Gonzalez — Deportes Recoleta
  2. ⚽ Leandro Benegas — Curico Unido

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Deportes Recoleta
Result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 177 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
162 predictions

Match overview

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