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18 Apr 2026 19:00 UTC

MAGALLANES vs SANTIAGO WANDERERS

Final 2:3

Santiago Wanderers won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Marcos Camarda — Santiago Wanderers
🟥 Claudio Meneses — Magallanes

2nd half

⚽ Marcos Camarda — Santiago Wanderers
⚽ Matías Poblete — Magallanes
⚽ Milton Alegre — Magallanes
⚽ Joaquin Silva — Santiago Wanderers

Model predictions were

40%

1X2

Draw

Result: Santiago Wanderers

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 177 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 60% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

Total 3.5 51% (Average)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)

52 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

93 predictions

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

127 predictions

Total 2.5 38% (Weak)

81 predictions

Total 3.5 12% (Weak)

42 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

162 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Magallanes vs Santiago Wanderers after full time. The match ended 2-3 in Chile · Primera B. The model leaned toward Draw with a low-confidence projection (40.2%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.5% of matches across a sample of 177 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 48.8% in a sample of 43 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) was correctly identified, both teams to score (48.2%) aligned with the result.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MAGALLANES vs SANTIAGO WANDERERS

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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