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Chile · Primera B

02 May 2026 21:30 UTC

DEPORTES SANTA CRUZ vs DEPORTES IQUIQUE

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Deportes Iquique

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Diego Arias — Deportes Santa Cruz
  2. Diego Arias — Deportes Santa Cruz
  3. Isaac Diaz — Deportes Iquique

2nd half

  1. Brayan Garrido — Deportes Iquique

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 192 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 30 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
148 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview