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Chile · Primera B

03 May 2026 16:30 UTC

MAGALLANES vs DEPORTES COPIAPO

Final 2:3

Deportes Copiapo won Last goal: Deportes Copiapo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Manuel Lopez — Deportes Copiapo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alessandro Toledo — Magallanes
  2. ⚽ Cristóbal Jorquera — Magallanes
  3. ⚽ Claudio Zamorano — Deportes Copiapo
  4. ⚽ Rodrigo Orellana — Deportes Copiapo

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: Deportes Copiapo
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 231 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 193 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
57 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
55 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
177 predictions

Match overview

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