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06 May 2026 16:00 UTC

EGERSUND vs RAUFOSS

Final 2:1

Egersund won Last goal: Raufoss

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Nicolaj Tornvig — Egersund
⚽ Scott Vatne — Egersund

2nd half

⚽ Filip Da Silva — Raufoss

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Egersund

Result: Egersund

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

34%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

34%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

34%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 218 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 78% (Strong)

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

136 predictions

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

61 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

147 predictions

Total 2.5 32% (Weak)

56 predictions

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

101 predictions

Total 4.5 81% (Strong)

126 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Egersund vs Raufoss. The match ended 2-1 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Egersund with a marginal edge (50.8%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) was identified as a strong signal and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (34.1%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (53.6%) aligned with the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 65.7% of matches across a sample of 172 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 51.2% in a sample of 41 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

EGERSUND vs RAUFOSS

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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