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Norway · 1. Division

10 May 2026 15:00 UTC

SANDNES ULF vs STABAEK

Final 0:1

Stabaek won Last goal: Stabaek

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Brage Tobiassen — Stabaek

Model predictions were

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 220 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 27 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
113 predictions
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
47 predictions

Match overview