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South Korea · K3 League

17 May 2026 05:00 UTC

SIHEUNG CITIZEN vs GANGNEUNG CITY

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Gangneung City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tae-Heon Kim — Siheung Citizen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gun-Kyu Cho (penalty) — Gangneung City

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Siheung Citizen
Result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 217 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
133 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
157 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
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