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South Korea · K3 League

23 May 2026 05:00 UTC

CHANGWON CITY vs ULSAN CITIZEN

Final 2:0

Changwon City won Last goal: Changwon City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jong-Hun Lee — Changwon City

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Byeong-Won Ye — Changwon City

Model predictions were

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
Result: Changwon City
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview

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