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23 May 2026 10:00 UTC

CHEONGJU FC vs HWASEONG FC

Final 2:3

Hwaseong FC won Last goal: Hwaseong FC

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Jin-Woo Jeong — Cheongju FC
⚽ Leonard Pllana — Hwaseong FC

2nd half

⚽ Jae-Won Seo — Cheongju FC
⚽ Sava Petrov — Hwaseong FC
⚽ Sava Petrov — Hwaseong FC

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Cheongju FC

Result: Hwaseong FC

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

10%

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 237 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 62% (Good)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

Total 1.5 48% (Average)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

Total 4.5 85% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)

173 predictions

Both teams to score 55% (Good)

134 predictions

Total 1.5 70% (Strong)

183 predictions

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

120 predictions

Total 3.5 32% (Weak)

53 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

216 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Cheongju FC vs Hwaseong FC. The match ended 2-3 in South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2. The model favored Cheongju FC with a low-confidence projection (39.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.3% of matches across a sample of 237 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 40.3% in a sample of 62 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) was correctly identified, both teams to score (53.6%) held up in the final outcome.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

CHEONGJU FC vs HWASEONG FC

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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