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South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2

17 May 2026 10:00 UTC

CHUNGNAM ASAN FC vs SUWON FC

Final 1:3

Suwon FC won Last goal: Suwon FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Seung-Bae Jung — Suwon FC
  2. ⚽ Matheus Frizzo — Suwon FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Heui-Won Choi — Chungnam Asan FC
  2. ⚽ Gi-Yun Choi — Suwon FC

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Chungnam Asan FC
Result: Suwon FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 233 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
180 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
212 predictions

Match overview

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