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30 May 2026 14:00 UTC

MOSS vs STABAEK

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Stabaek

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Niclas Schjoeth Semmen — Moss
⚽ Oscar Aga — Moss
⚽ Karsten Arman Ekorness — Stabaek

2nd half

⚽ Magnus Lankhof-Dahlby — Stabaek

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Moss

Result: Draw

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

20%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 45% (Average)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

164 predictions

Both teams to score 63% (Good)

133 predictions

Total 1.5 89% (Strong)

178 predictions

Total 2.5 64% (Good)

139 predictions

Total 3.5 41% (Weak)

90 predictions

Total 4.5 29% (Weak)

58 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Moss vs Stabaek after full time. The match ended 2-2 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Moss with a low-confidence projection (39.3%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) appeared as a moderate expectation and aligned with the result. Both teams to score (62.3%) was confirmed by the match. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66.3% of matches across a sample of 205 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 56.9% in a sample of 51 team involvements. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MOSS vs STABAEK

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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