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25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

LYN vs STROEMMEN

Final 1:0

Lyn won Last goal: Lyn

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Simen Heggdal Beck (own goal) — Lyn

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Stroemmen

Result: Lyn

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)

Both teams to score 55% (Average)

Total 1.5 77% (Strong)

Total 2.5 52% (Average)

Total 3.5 52% (Average)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

129 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

170 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

134 predictions

Total 3.5 41% (Weak)

87 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

141 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Lyn vs Stroemmen. The match ended 1-0 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Stroemmen with a low-confidence projection (39.3%).

The model’s main outcome call did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66% of matches across a sample of 197 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 54.8% in a sample of 31 team involvements.

Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) came in as a clear statistical edge and fell short of the result. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) was identified as a moderate expectation and was not confirmed.

Both teams to score (62.3%) fell short of the result. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

LYN vs STROEMMEN

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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