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05 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

FBK KARLSTAD vs IF KARLSTAD

Final 2:3

IF Karlstad won Last goal: IF Karlstad

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Alexander Heden Lindskog — FBK Karlstad
⚽ Kim Kaeck Ofordu — IF Karlstad

2nd half

⚽ Henrik Bellman — IF Karlstad
⚽ Granit Hana — FBK Karlstad
⚽ Lukas Rhoese — IF Karlstad

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

FBK Karlstad

Result: IF Karlstad

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

25%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over

Score

3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 102 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 478 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 396 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 72% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 48% (Average)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

Total 1.5 65% (Good)

Total 2.5 41% (Weak)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 76% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

301 predictions

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

264 predictions

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

333 predictions

Total 2.5 66% (Strong)

244 predictions

Total 3.5 37% (Weak)

142 predictions

Total 4.5 27% (Weak)

67 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for FBK Karlstad vs IF Karlstad. The match ended 2-3 in Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra. The model leaned toward FBK Karlstad with a low-confidence projection (45.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 68.2% of matches across a sample of 396 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 44.1% in a sample of 34 team involvements.

Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (56.7%) was confirmed by the match.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

FBK KARLSTAD vs IF KARLSTAD

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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