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06 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

GEFLE vs HAMMARBY TFF

Final 0:4

Hammarby TFF won Last goal: Hammarby TFF

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Keyano Marrah — Hammarby TFF
⚽ Keyano Marrah — Hammarby TFF

2nd half

⚽ Oskar Moczarny — Hammarby TFF
⚽ Adam Johansson — Hammarby TFF

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Gefle

Result: Hammarby TFF

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

25%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 479 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 397 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 72% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 49% (Average)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 71% (Strong)

Total 2.5 46% (Average)

Total 3.5 42% (Weak)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

302 predictions

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

265 predictions

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

334 predictions

Total 2.5 66% (Strong)

245 predictions

Total 3.5 37% (Weak)

143 predictions

Total 4.5 28% (Weak)

68 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Gefle vs Hammarby TFF. The match ended 0-4 in Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra. Pre-match projections pointed to Gefle with a weak indicator at 50.8%.

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (56.7%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 68.3% of matches across a sample of 397 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 47.9% in a sample of 48 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

GEFLE vs HAMMARBY TFF

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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