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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

06 Jun 2026 17:45 UTC

PORTUGAL vs CHILE

Final 2:1

Portugal won Last goal: Chile

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Rafael Leão (straight red) — Portugal
  2. 🟥 Iván Román (straight red) — Chile

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gonçalo Guedes — Portugal
  2. ⚽ Bruno Fernandes — Portugal
  3. ⚽ Lucas Cepeda — Chile

Model predictions were

Solid call
48%
1X2
Portugal
Result: Portugal
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 62% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 349 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
217 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
214 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
249 predictions

Match overview

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