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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

06 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

SWITZERLAND vs AUSTRALIA

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Australia

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Dan Ndoye — Switzerland

2nd half

⚽ Tete Yengi — Australia

Model predictions were

35%

1X2

Draw

Result: Draw

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

41%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

71%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 349 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

Total 1.5 42% (Weak)

Total 2.5 58% (Good)

Total 3.5 33% (Weak)

Total 4.5 58% (Good)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)

65 predictions

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

145 predictions

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

217 predictions

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

140 predictions

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

214 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

249 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Switzerland vs Australia. The match ended 1-1 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Draw with a weak indicator at 35.2%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.4% of matches across a sample of 274 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 41.7% in a sample of 12 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) came in as a clear statistical edge and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (41.1%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (41.1%) aligned with the result.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

SWITZERLAND vs AUSTRALIA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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