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South Korea · K3 League

06 Jun 2026 05:00 UTC

POCHEON CITIZEN FC vs BUSAN TRANSPORT CORP

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Pocheon Citizen FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Seok-Hwan Hong (straight red) — Pocheon Citizen FC
  2. ⚽ Jeong-Un Yang — Busan Transport Corp
  3. ⚽ Jun-Beom Park — Pocheon Citizen FC

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Pocheon Citizen FC
Result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 233 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 20% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
170 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
O 1.5 U 2.5 U 3.5 U 4.5
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Over/Under
O 1.5 O 2.5 U 3.5 U 4.5
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Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Finished
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Siheung Citizen vs FC Mokpo
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1