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South Korea · K3 League

06 Jun 2026 07:00 UTC

DANGJIN CITIZEN vs CHANGWON CITY

Final 1:2

Changwon City won Last goal: Changwon City

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Hyeon-Jong Kang — Dangjin Citizen
  2. Jong-Hun Lee — Changwon City
  3. Woo-Hong Kim — Changwon City

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 233 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 40% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
87 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
170 predictions

Match overview