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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

29 Mar 2026 22:30 UTC

CLUB ATLETICO PENAROL vs RACING

Final 1:2

Racing won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yuri Oyarzo — Racing

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Álex Vázquez — Racing
  2. 🟥 Mauricio Lemos — Club Atletico Penarol
  3. ⚽ Maximiliano Olivera — Club Atletico Penarol

Model predictions were

Solid call
40%
1X2
Racing
Result: Racing
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 185 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
102 predictions
Total 1.5 37% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
165 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
181 predictions

Match overview

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