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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

31 Mar 2026 22:00 UTC

DEFENSOR SPORTING vs ALBION

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Brian Montenegro — Defensor Sporting
  2. ⚽ Carlos Airala — Albion

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Defensor Sporting
Result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 187 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
183 predictions

Match overview

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