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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

05 Apr 2026 21:30 UTC

LIVERPOOL FC vs DEPORTIVO MALDONADO

Final 0:2

Deportivo Maldonado won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maximiliano Noble — Deportivo Maldonado

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Hernán Petryk — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. ⚽ Juan Martín Ginzo — Deportivo Maldonado
  3. 🟥 Diego Zabala — Liverpool FC

Model predictions were

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
Liverpool FC
Result: Deportivo Maldonado
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 194 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
87 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
116 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview

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