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06 Apr 2026 12:30 UTC

AASANE vs MOSS

Final 2:3

Moss won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Kristoffer Barmen — Aasane

2nd half

⚽ Emanuel Groenner — Aasane
⚽ Niclas Schjoeth Semmen — Moss
⚽ Niclas Schjoeth Semmen — Moss
⚽ Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen — Moss

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Draw

Result: Moss

61%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 181 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 136 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 85% (Strong)

Total 2.5 59% (Good)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)

Both teams to score 67% (Strong)

Total 1.5 88% (Strong)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 48% (Average)

Total 4.5 73% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)

25 predictions

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

92 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

120 predictions

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

41 predictions

Total 3.5 69% (Strong)

78 predictions

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

98 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Aasane vs Moss after full time. The match ended 2-3 in Norway · 1. Division. The model leaned toward Draw with a marginal edge (36.6%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) was identified as a weak indicator and fell short of the result. Both teams to score (61.1%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 67.7% of matches across a sample of 136 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 66.7% in a sample of 33 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

AASANE vs MOSS

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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