← Back to matches

07 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

HOEDD vs SANDNES ULF

Final 2:1

Hoedd won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Isak Gabriel Skotheim — Hoedd

2nd half

⚽ Ole Sebastian Sundgot — Sandnes Ulf
⚽ Sean Nilsen-Modebe — Hoedd

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

Hoedd

Result: Hoedd

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

12%

Score

3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 184 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 139 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

Total 1.5 85% (Strong)

Total 2.5 58% (Good)

Total 3.5 58% (Good)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 17 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 71% (Strong)

Total 1.5 76% (Strong)

Total 2.5 71% (Strong)

Total 3.5 59% (Good)

Total 4.5 65% (Good)

Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

112 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

45 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

123 predictions

Total 2.5 67% (Strong)

95 predictions

Total 3.5 67% (Strong)

81 predictions

Total 4.5 81% (Strong)

101 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Hoedd vs Sandnes Ulf after full time. The match ended 2-1 in Norway · 1. Division. Pre-match projections pointed to Hoedd with a marginal edge at 45.3%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (65%) was correctly identified, both teams to score (53.6%) fell short of the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66.9% of matches across a sample of 139 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 70.6% in a sample of 17 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.