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18 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

KONGSVINGER vs MOSS

Final 2:1

Kongsvinger won

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Rasmus Opdal Christiansen — Kongsvinger
⚽ Daniel Job — Kongsvinger
⚽ Robin Hermanstad — Moss

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Kongsvinger

Result: Kongsvinger

61%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

25%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 150 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

Total 2.5 57% (Good)

Total 3.5 56% (Good)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 41% (Weak)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

121 predictions

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

98 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

131 predictions

Total 2.5 69% (Strong)

102 predictions

Total 3.5 45% (Average)

62 predictions

Total 4.5 28% (Weak)

40 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Kongsvinger vs Moss after full time. The match ended 2-1 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Kongsvinger with a weak indicator (50.8%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66% of matches across a sample of 150 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 54.1% in a sample of 37 team involvements.

Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) appeared as a strong signal and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (65%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (61.1%) was confirmed by the match.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

KONGSVINGER vs MOSS

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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