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Norway · 1. Division

18 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

STROEMSGODSET vs SOGNDAL

Final 3:0

Stroemsgodset won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Herman Stengel — Stroemsgodset
  2. ⚽ Marcus Johansen Mehnert — Stroemsgodset
  3. ⚽ Sebastian Pingel — Stroemsgodset

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Sogndal
Result: Stroemsgodset
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 150 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
52 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
88 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
110 predictions

Match overview

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