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Chile · Primera B

09 May 2026 00:00 UTC

PUERTO MONTT vs MAGALLANES

Final 2:0

Puerto Montt won Last goal: Puerto Montt

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Luciano Vasquez (penalty) — Puerto Montt
  2. Byron Nieto (penalty) — Puerto Montt

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Maximiliano Riveros (straight red) — Puerto Montt
  2. 🟥 Jason Flores (straight red) — Puerto Montt
  3. 🟥 Javier Quiroz (straight red) — Magallanes
  4. 🟥 Joaquín Muñoz (straight red) — Magallanes

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
52%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 236 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview