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Chile · Primera B

09 May 2026 16:30 UTC

DEPORTES RECOLETA vs DEPORTES SANTA CRUZ

Final 1:0

Deportes Recoleta won Last goal: Deportes Recoleta

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Braian Camisassa (own goal) — Deportes Recoleta

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Gino Alucema (straight red) — Deportes Santa Cruz

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Deportes Recoleta
Result: Deportes Recoleta
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 236 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
94 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
181 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
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Score 1:0