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12 May 2026 00:00 UTC

CURICO UNIDO vs SAN MARCOS

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Curico Unido

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Nicolas Fernandez — Curico Unido

2nd half

⚽ Camilo Melivilu — San Marcos
⚽ Nahuel Donadell Alvarez — San Marcos
⚽ Joaquin Alfaro — Curico Unido

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Curico Unido

Result: Draw

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

71%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 204 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 45% (Weak)

Total 3.5 59% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 21% (Weak)

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

Total 1.5 60% (Good)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 65% (Good)

Total 4.5 75% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)

142 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

105 predictions

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

146 predictions

Total 2.5 38% (Weak)

91 predictions

Total 3.5 72% (Strong)

158 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

188 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Curico Unido vs San Marcos. The match ended 2-2 in Chile · Primera B. Pre-match projections pointed to Curico Unido with a weak indicator at 36.6%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) came in as a weak indicator and held up in the final outcome. Both teams to score (48.2%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.4% of matches across a sample of 204 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 58.3% in a sample of 48 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

CURICO UNIDO vs SAN MARCOS

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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