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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

14 May 2026 00:00 UTC

BOLIVAR vs NACIONAL POTOSI

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Bolivar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Damian Villalba — Nacional Potosi

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Robson Matheus — Bolivar

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Bolivar
Result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 82% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 62% (Good)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
144 predictions

Match overview

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