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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

16 May 2026 00:00 UTC

REAL TOMAYAPO vs AURORA

Final 0:2

Aurora won Last goal: Aurora

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Denis Olivera — Aurora
  2. ⚽ Miyel Ortiz — Aurora
  3. 🟥 Mauricio Chajtur (straight red) — Real Tomayapo

Model predictions were

On point
51%
1X2
Aurora
Result: Aurora
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 213 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 178 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
136 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 72% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
115 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
147 predictions

Match overview

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