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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

16 May 2026 19:00 UTC

UNIVERSITARIO DE VINTO vs BOLIVAR

Final 3:2

Universitario de Vinto won Last goal: Universitario de Vinto

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Escleizon Freita — Bolivar
  2. ⚽ Hernán Rodríguez — Universitario de Vinto
  3. ⚽ Guilder Cuellar — Universitario de Vinto

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Robson Matheus — Bolivar
  2. ⚽ Hugo Dorrego — Universitario de Vinto

Model predictions were

Off target
45%
1X2
Bolivar
Result: Universitario de Vinto
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 7% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 213 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 179 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 61% (Good)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
137 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
116 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
148 predictions

Match overview

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