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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

16 May 2026 16:00 UTC

IRELAND vs GRENADA

Final 5:0

Ireland won Last goal: Ireland

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Thomas Cannon — Ireland
⚽ Thomas Cannon — Ireland
⚽ Jack Moylan — Ireland
⚽ Jack Moylan — Ireland
⚽ Jack Moylan — Ireland

Model predictions were

49%

1X2

Grenada

Result: Ireland

47%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

41%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

78%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

17%

Score

0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 13% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 212 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 50% (Average)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

163 predictions

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

115 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

162 predictions

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

120 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

167 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

193 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Ireland vs Grenada. The match ended 5-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model favored Grenada with a low-confidence projection (49.2%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.8% of matches across a sample of 212 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 50% in a sample of 6 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (41.1%) did not match the outcome, both teams to score (46.5%) was confirmed by the match.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

IRELAND vs GRENADA

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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