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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

23 May 2026 02:00 UTC

MEXICO vs GHANA

Final 2:0

Mexico won Last goal: Mexico

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Brian Gutiérrez — Mexico

2nd half

⚽ Guillermo Martínez — Mexico

Model predictions were

44%

1X2

Mexico

Result: Mexico

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

13%

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 15 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 73% (Strong)

Both teams to score 40% (Weak)

Total 1.5 40% (Weak)

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)

164 predictions

Both teams to score 41% (Weak)

97 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

163 predictions

Total 2.5 46% (Average)

92 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

168 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

194 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Mexico vs Ghana. The match ended 2-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model favored Mexico with a marginal edge (43.6%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.5% of matches across a sample of 213 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 40% in a sample of 15 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) was identified as a low-confidence signal and was not confirmed.

Both teams to score (41.1%) did not match the outcome. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MEXICO vs GHANA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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