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17 May 2026 07:30 UTC

SEONGNAM FC vs GYEONGNAM FC

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Seongnam FC

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Byeong-Gyu Park — Seongnam FC
⚽ Jung-Won Choi — Gyeongnam FC

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Draw

Result: Draw

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

10%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 233 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 62% (Good)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)

170 predictions

Both teams to score 55% (Average)

132 predictions

Total 1.5 70% (Strong)

180 predictions

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

119 predictions

Total 3.5 70% (Strong)

181 predictions

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

212 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Seongnam FC vs Gyeongnam FC. The match ended 1-1 in South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2. The model favored Draw with a marginal edge (39.3%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) appeared as a strong signal and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) was confirmed by the match, both teams to score (53.6%) was confirmed by the match. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.8% of matches across a sample of 233 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 48.3% in a sample of 60 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

SEONGNAM FC vs GYEONGNAM FC

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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